HCF-VoteToday Monday, October 6, 2014, 9:18
Share Button

Hagan Maintains Narrow Lead in North Carolina Headed Into Tuesday’s Debate

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE: October 6, 2014
CONTACT: John Morey
843.259.9864
jmorey@thelukenscompany.com

Washington, DC — A joint Susan B. Anthony List/The Lukens Company poll indicates incumbent U.S. Senator Kay Hagan holds a small 2.4% lead (40.1% to 37.7%) over her Republican challenger – State House Speaker Thom Tillis.

The online poll of 955 likely voters was conducted between October 1st and October 6th. Senator Hagan’s lead is within the margin of error (3.2%), and a large number of respondents (20.2%) remain undecided, painting a picture of a volatile race that could very well go either way.

“This race remains tight,” said John Morey, President of Polling & Research for The Lukens Company. “The winner will be determined by two things: which party does a better job mobilizing voter turnout, and which candidate gets the bulk of those late-deciding voters who are just now starting to pay attention to the race.” According to Morey, the poll indicates Tillis has an opportunity to win a majority of late-breaking undecided voters if Tillis can convince them that he is the right candidate on the economy, national security, and taxes.

“There are plenty more voters for Tillis to win over, especially if President Obama’s popularity keeps plummeting,” agreed Seth Colton, Vice President of The Lukens Company. Colton thinks the poll results show that Senator Hagan is linked to President Obama in terms of popularity, but she’s been able to hold her lead thanks to a withering anti-Tillis negative ad campaign that has gotten the voters’ attention.

“In every single media outlet, voters who can recall seeing campaign ads are backing Hagan by a healthy margin. Her TV, radio and newspaper ads have really hurt Tillis. The only exceptions are direct mail and digital advertising, where Tillis is holding his own,” Colton said.

Among other noteworthy findings:

- Congressional Republicans lead Democrats with 38.9% likely to vote for a Republican and 33.6% likely to vote for a Democrat. This is particularly significant given Hagan is leading in the poll for the Senate seat.

- President Obama is underwater with North Carolina voters – his favorable rating is just 36.0%, compared to 55.9% of voters who rate him unfavorable.

- Among undecided voters, more are pro-life (20.7%) than pro-choice (14.5%), leaving Senator Hagan vulnerable to new independent advertising campaigns focusing on her support for late-term abortion.

###

Morey Group, a division of The Lukens Company polled 955 likely voters from October 1 to October 6. The margin of error for the survey is (+/- 3.2%). Interviews for the poll were conducted online using a census matching sample. Morey Group has conducted telephone and online polls “side-by-side,” which has indicated stronger accuracy among online polls as more than 50% of households do not use a land-based telephone.

RESULTS

On a generic political ballot, how are you most likely to?

Counts Break % Respondents Total
Hagan Haugh Tillis Undecided
Base 955 383 19 360 193
On a generic political ballot, how are you most likely to…
Always Democrat 109
11.4%
97
25.3%
2
10.5%
1
0.3%
9
4.7%
Mostly Democrat 194
20.3%
167
43.6%
3
15.8%
4
1.1%
20
10.4%
Sometimes Democrat/ Sometimes Republican 255
26.7%
99
25.8%
7
36.8%
61
16.9%
88
45.6%
Mostly Republican 245
25.7%
8
2.1%
4
21.1%
199
55.3%
34
17.6%
Always Republican 98
10.3%
- - 90
25.0%
8
4.1%
Other Party 10
1.0%
2
0.5%
2
10.5%
1
0.3%
5
2.6%
Do not know 44
4.6%
10
2.6%
1
5.3%
4
1.1%
29
15.0%
Which of the following issues are important to you in national elections?
Counts Break % Respondents Total
Hagan Haugh Tillis Undecided
Base 957 384 19 361 193
Which of the following issues are important to you in nat…
Economy 824
86.1%
330
85.9%
17
89.5%
315
87.3%
162
83.9%
Health care 742
77.5%
309
80.5%
17
89.5%
265
73.4%
151
78.2%
National security 628
65.6%
208
54.2%
8
42.1%
285
78.9%
127
65.8%
Education 618
64.6%
311
81.0%
13
68.4%
154
42.7%
140
72.5%
Taxes 598
62.5%
203
52.9%
14
73.7%
252
69.8%
129
66.8%
Immigration 522
54.5%
176
45.8%
14
73.7%
236
65.4%
96
49.7%
National déficit 479
50.1%
130
33.9%
10
52.6%
242
67.0%
97
50.3%
Foreign policy 474
49.5%
164
42.7%
10
52.6%
216
59.8%
84
43.5%
Energy policy 407
42.5%
196
51.0%
9
47.4%
138
38.2%
64
33.2%
Change Washington, DC 381
39.8%
124
32.3%
5
26.3%
190
52.6%
62
32.1%
Climate change 284
29.7%
200
52.1%
5
26.3%
34
9.4%
45
23.3%
Social values 229
23.9%
95
24.7%
4
21.1%
83
23.0%
47
24.4%
Abortion (pro-choice) 217
22.7%
156
40.6%
6
31.6%
27
7.5%
28
14.5%
Same-sex marriage (pro) 215
22.5%
158
41.1%
7
36.8%
13
3.6%
37
19.2%
Abortion (pro-life) 210
21.9%
37
9.6%
2
10.5%
131
36.3%
40
20.7%
Same-sex marriage (anti) 190
19.9%
20
5.2%
2
10.5%
127
35.2%
41
21.2%
Other 21
2.2%
13
3.4%
1
5.3%
5
1.4%
2
1.0%
None of these issues are important to me 1
0.1%
- - - 1
0.5%

Of these, which is most important?

Counts Break % Base % Respondents Total
Hagan Haugh Tillis Undecided
Base 956 383
40.1%
19
2.0%
361
37.8%
193
20.2%
Of these, which is most important? (Select one)
Economy 295
30.9%
116
30.3%
12.1%
8
42.1%
0.8%
112
31.0%
11.7%
59
30.6%
6.2%
Education 110
11.5%
71
18.5%
7.4%
1
5.3%
0.1%
9
2.5%
0.9%
29
15.0%
3.0%
Energy policy 8
0.8%
3
0.8%
0.3%
- 2
0.6%
0.2%
3
1.6%
0.3%
Foreign policy 19
2.0%
5
1.3%
0.5%
- 10
2.8%
1.0%
4
2.1%
0.4%
National security 118
12.3%
28
7.3%
2.9%
1
5.3%
0.1%
67
18.6%
7.0%
22
11.4%
2.3%
Health care 112
11.7%
60
15.7%
6.3%
1
5.3%
0.1%
27
7.5%
2.8%
24
12.4%
2.5%
Climate change 31
3.2%
30
7.8%
3.1%
- - 1
0.5%
0.1%
Immigration 31
3.2%
6
1.6%
0.6%
2
10.5%
0.2%
19
5.3%
2.0%
4
2.1%
0.4%
National deficit 42
4.4%
6
1.6%
0.6%
- 29
8.0%
3.0%
7
3.6%
0.7%
Abortion (pro-life) 21
2.2%
10.3%
0.1%
- 16
4.4%
1.7%
4
2.1%
0.4%
Abortion (pro-choice) 9
0.9%
6
1.6%
0.6%
2
10.5%
0.2%
- 1
0.5%
0.1%
Same-sex marriage (pro) 7
0.7%
3
0.8%
0.3%
- - 4
2.1%
0.4%
Same-sex marriage (anti) 15
1.6%
2
0.5%
0.2%
1
5.3%
0.1%
8
2.2%
0.8%
4
2.1%
0.4%
Social values 26
2.7%
17
4.4%
1.8%
- 8
2.2%
0.8%
1
0.5%
0.1%
Taxes 31
3.2%
9
2.3%
0.9%
- 15
4.2%
1.6%
7
3.6%
0.7%
Change Washington, DC 69
7.2%
13
3.4%
1.4%
2
10.5%
0.2%
38
10.5%
4.0%
16
8.3%
1.7%
Other 9
0.9%
5
1.3%
0.5%
1
5.3%
0.1%
1
0.3%
0.1%
2
1.0%
0.2%
None of thèse issues are important to me 3
0.3%
2
0.5%
0.2%
- - 1
0.5%
0.1%

In the U.S. Senate race, who are you most likely to vote for?

Counts Break % Respondents Total
Hagan Haugh Tillis Undecided
Base 957 384 19 361 193
In the U.S. Senate race,who are you most likely to vote …
Definitely Kay Hagan (D) 231
24.1%
231
60.2%
- - -
Probably Kay Hagan (D) 153
16.0%
153
39.8%
- - -
Definitely Sean Haugh (L) 1
0.1%
- 1
5.3%
- -
Probably Sean Haugh (L) 18
1.9%
- 18
94.7%
- -
Definitely ThomTillis (R) 187
19.5%
- - 187
51.8%
-
Probably Thom Tillis (R) 174
18.2%
- - 174
48.2%
-
Other candidate - - - - -
Undecided 193
20.2%
- - - 193
100.0%

In the U.S. Congressional races, who are you most likely to vote for?

Counts Break % Respondents Total
Hagan Haugh Tillis Undecided
Base 957 384 19 361 193
In the U.S. Congressional races, who are you most likely to vote for?
Definitely Democrats 171
17.9%
161
41.9%
2
10.5%
1
0.3%
7
3.6%
Probably Democrats 150
15.7%
125
32.6%
4
21.1%
3
0.8%
18
9.3%
Undecided 252
26.3%
81
21.1%
7
36.8%
43
11.9%
121
62.7%
Probably Republicans 199
20.8%
13
3.4%
3
15.8%
149
41.3%
34
17.6%
Definitely Republicans 173
18.1%
1
0.3%
1
5.3%
164
45.4%
7
3.6%
Other Party 12
1.3%
3
0.8%
2
10.5%
1
0.3%
6
3.1%
Which of the following issues are most important to you in the statewide elections?
Counts Break % Respondents Total
Hagan Haugh Tillis Undecided
Base 957 384 19 361 193
Which of the following issues are most important to you i…
Economy 697
72.8%
253
65.9%
15
78.9%
280
77.6%
149
77.2%
Education 659
68.9%
303
78.9%
12
63.2%
203
56.2%
141
73.1%
Energy policy 282
29.5%
138
35.9%
7
36.8%
91
25.2%
46
23.8%
Health care 571
59.7%
244
63.5%
9
47.4%
192
53.2%
126
65.3%
Immigration 319
33.3%
90
23.4%
8
42.1%
161
44.6%
60
31.1%
State budget 511
53.4%
186
48.4%
10
52.6%
218
60.4%
97
50.3%
Abortion (pro-life) 173
18.1%
25
6.5%
1
5.3%
114
31.6%
33
17.1%
Abortion (pro-choice) 164
17.1%
126
32.8%
5
26.3%
11
3.0%
22
11.4%
Same-sex marriage (pro) 185
19.3%
141
36.7%
5
26.3%
7
1.9%
32
16.6%
Same-sex marriage (anti) 174
18.2%
18
4.7%
3
15.8%
120
33.2%
33
17.1%
Social values 189
19.7%
71
18.5%
3
15.8%
74
20.5%
41
21.2%
Taxes 599
62.6%
210
54.7%
11
57.9%
259
71.7%
119
61.7%
Other 28
2.9%
17
4.4%
- 6
1.7%
5
2.6%
None of thèse issues are important to me 4
0.4%
1
0.3%
- - 3
1.6%
Of these, which is most important to you in statewide élections?
Total
Counts Break % Respondents Hagan Haugh Tillis Undecided
Base 957 384 19 361 193
Of these, which is most important to you in statewide ele…
Economy 303
31.7%
91
23.7%
8
42.1%
143
39.6%
61
31.6%
Education 219
22.9%
133
34.6%
3
15.8%
32
8.9%
51
26.4%
Energy policy 22
2.3%
12
3.1%
1
5.3%
6
1.7%
3
1.6%
Health care 116
12.1%
54
14.1%
1
5.3%
34
9.4%
27
14.0%
Immigration 33
3.4%
8
2.1%
- 23
6.4%
2
1.0%
State budget 71
7.4%
23
6.0%
1
5.3%
34
9.4%
13
6.7%
Abortion (pro-life) 22
2.3%
- - 19
5.3%
3
1.6%
Abortion (pro-choice) 10
1.0%
5
1.3%
2
10.5%
1
0.3%
2
1.0%
Same-sex marriage (pro) 7
0.7%
6
1.6%
- - 1
0.5%
Same-sex marriage (anti) 19
2.0%
1
0.3%
1
5.3%
14
3.9%
3
1.6%
Social values 23
2.4%
12
3.1%
- 9
2.5%
2
1.0%
Taxes 94
9.8%
29
7.6%
2
10.5%
44
12.2%
19
9.8%
Other 12
1.3%
7
1.8%
- 2
0.6%
3
1.6%
None of these issues are important to me 6
0.6%
3
0.8%
- - 3
1.6%

In the North Carolina Senate races, who are you most likely to vote for?

Counts Break % Respondents Total
Hagan Haugh Tillis Undecided
Base 957 384 19 361 193
In the North Carolina Senate races, who are you most like…
Definitely Democrats 185
19.3%
175
45.6%
1
5.3%
3
0.8%
6
3.1%
Probably Democrats 159
16.6%
131
34.1%
4
21.1%
4
1.1%
20
10.4%
Undecided 244
25.5%
67
17.4%
9
47.4%
40
11.1%
128
66.3%
Probably Republicans 196
20.5%
7
1.8%
2
10.5%
157
43.5%
30
15.5%
Definitely Republicans 165
17.2%
2
0.5%
1
5.3%
156
43.2%
6
3.1%
Other party 8
0.8%
2
0.5%
2
10.5%
1
0.3%
3
1.6%

In the North Carolina House races, who are you most likely to vote for?

Counts Break % Respondents Total
Hagan Haugh Tillis Undecided
Base 953 381 19 361 192
In the North Carolina House races, who are you most likely to vote for
Definitely Democrats 178
18.7%
165
43.3%
2
10.5%
3
0.8%
8
4.2%
Probably Democrats 151
15.8%
125
32.8%
3
15.8%
4
1.1%
19
9.9%
Undecided 261
27.4%
73
19.2%
947.4% 44
12.2%
135
70.3%
Probably Republicans 193
20.3%
11
2.9%
2
10.5%
159
44.0%
21
10.9%
Definitely Republicans 164
17.2%
5
1.3%
2
10.5%
150
41.6%
7
3.6%
Other party 6
0.6%
2
0.5%
1
5.3%
1
0.3%
2
1.0%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of the following?

Counts Break % Respondents Total
Hagan Haugh Tillis Undecided
Base 956 383 19 361 193
President Barack Obama
Favorable 344
36.0%
287
74.9%
3
15.8%
5
1.4%
49
25.4%
Unfavorable 535
56.0%
63
16.4%
13
68.4%
344
95.3%
115
59.6%
No Opinion 77
8.1%
33
8.6%
3
15.8%
12
3.3%
29
15.0%
U.S. Senate Democrats
Favorable 265
27.7%
229
59.8%
6
31.6%
6
1.7%
24
12.4%
Unfavorable 540
56.5%
91
23.8%
10
52.6%
330
91.4%
109
56.5%
No Opinion 150
15.7%
63
16.4%
3
15.8%
25
6.9%
59
30.6%
U.S. Senate Republicans
Favorable 198
20.7%
10
2.6%
- 165
45.7%
23
11.9%
Unfavorable 587
61.4%
337
88.0%
16
84.2%
127
35.2%
107
55.4%
No Opinion 170
17.8%
36
9.4%
3
15.8%
69
19.1%
62
32.1%
U.S. House Democrats
Favorable 234
24.5%
202
52.7%
5
26.3%
5
1.4%
22
11.4%
Unfavorable 534
55.9%
102
26.6%
11
57.9%
315
87.3%
106
54.9%
No Opinion 187
19.6%
79
20.6%
3
15.8%
40
11.1%
65
33.7%
U.S. House Republicans
Favorable 215
22.5%
10
2.6%
- 181
50.1%
24
12.4%
Unfavorable 571
59.7%
334
87.2%
16
84.2%
116
32.1%
105
54.4%
No Opinion 169
17.7%
39
10.2%
3
15.8%
64
17.7%
63
32.6%
Do you recall seeing or hearing any advertising for a political candidate in any of the following?
Counts Break % Respondents Total
Hagan Haugh Tillis Undecided
Base 957 384 19 361 193
Do you recall seeing or hearing any advertising for a pol…
Télévision 870
90.9%
351
91.4%
18
94.7%
335
92.8%
166
86.0%
Yard sign 541
56.5%
219
57.0%
10
52.6%
206
57.1%
106
54.9%
Mail 448
46.8%
178
46.4%
6
31.6%
183
50.7%
81
42.0%
Radio 353
36.9%
141
36.7%
7
36.8%
127
35.2%
78
40.4%
Newspaper (print or online) 318
33.2%
132
34.4%
6
31.6%
126
34.9%
54
28.0%
Billboard 275
28.7%
116
30.2%
7
36.8%
101
28.0%
51
26.4%
Internet advertising 228
23.8%
96
25.0%
7
36.8%
86
23.8%
39
20.2%
Social média 152
15.9%
64
16.7%
4
21.1%
56
15.5%
28
14.5%
Other 28
2.9%
9
2.3%
- 11
3.0%
8
4.1%

Was your decision to vote for a specific candidate impacted by a POSTIVE/NEGATIVE advertisement in any of the following?

Total ProTV NegTV
Yes No Do Not Know Yes No Do Not Know
Base 955 269 615 71 281 605 68
Hagan 384
40.2%
121
45.0%
245
39.8%
18
25.4%
122
43.4%
246
40.7%
16
23.5%
Haugh 19
2.0%
4
1.5%
15
2.4%
- 7
2.5%
12
2.0%
-
Tillis 360
37.7%
111
41.3%
226
36.7%
23
32.4%
107
38.1%
236
39.0%
16
23.5%
Undecided 192
20.1%
33
12.3%
129
21.0%
30
42.3%
45
16.0%
111
18.3%
36
52.9%
Counts Break % Respondents Total Pro Radio Neg Radio
Yes No Do Not Know Yes No Do Not Know
Base 946 78 717 149 108 697 139
Hagan 379
40.1%
42
53.8%
289
40.3%
48
32.2%
53
49.1%
283
40.6%
42
30.2%
Haugh 19
2.0%
2
2.6%
16
2.2%
1
0.7%
5
4.6%
13
1.9%
1
0.7%
Tillis 357
37.7%
21
26.9%
277
38.6%
57
38.3%
28
25.9%
277
39.7%
51
36.7%
Undecided 191
20.2%
13
16.7%
135
18.8%
43
28.9%
22
20.4%
124
17.8%
45
32.4%
Counts Break % Respondents Total Pro Paper Neg Paper
Yes No Do Not Know Yes No Do Not Know
Base 947 98 698 150 83 721 140
Hagan 380
40.1%
56
57.1%
276
39.5%
48
32.0%
48
57.8%
288
39.9%
42
30.0%
Haugh 19
2.0%
- 17
2.4%
2
1.3%
2
2.4%
15
2.1%
2
1.4%
Tillis 356
37.6%
28
28.6%
272
39.0%
55
36.7%
19
22.9%
287
39.8%
49
35.0%
Undecided 192
20.3%
14
14.3%
133
19.1%
45
30.0%
14
16.9%
131
18.2%
47
33.6%
Counts Break % Respondents Total Pro Digital Neg Digital
Yes No Do Not Know Yes No Do Not Know
Base 947 45 740 161 64 721 159
Hagan 380
40.1%
27
60.0%
300
40.5%
53
32.9%
33
51.6%
297
41.2%
49
30.8%
Haugh 19
2.0%
1
2.2%
16
2.2%
2
1.2%
3
4.7%
14
1.9%
2
1.3%
Tillis 357
37.7%
14
31.1%
284
38.4%
58
36.0%
17
26.6%
283
39.3%
56
35.2%
Undecided 191
20.2%
3
6.7%
140
18.9%
48
29.8%
11
17.2%
127
17.6%
52
32.7%
Counts Break % Respondents Total Pro Social Neg Social
Yes No Do Not Know Yes No Do Not Know
Base 944 48 725 170 56 726 161
Hagan 378
40.0%
29
60.4%
293
40.4%
56
32.9%
33
58.9%
293
40.4%
52
32.3%
Haugh 19
2.0%
1
2.1%
16
2.2%
2
1.2%
3
5.4%
14
1.9%
2
1.2%
Tillis 356
37.7%
12
25.0%
280
38.6%
63
37.1%
13
23.2%
287
39.5%
55
34.2%
Undecided 191
20.2%
61
2.5%
136
18.8%
49
28.8%
71
2.5%
132
18.2%
52
32.3%
Total Pro DM Neg DM
Counts Break % Respondents Yes No Do Not Know Yes No Do Not Know
Base 947 81 736 130 83 725 135
Hagan 380
40.1%
34
42.0%
302
41.0%
44
33.8%
40
48.2%
295
40.7%
43
31.9%
Haugh 19
2.0%
- 16
2.2%
3
2.3%
2
2.4%
14
1.9%
3
2.2%
Tillis 357
37.7%
36
44.4%
280
38.0%
41
31.5%
29
34.9%
284
39.2%
43
31.9%
Undecided 191
20.2%
11
13.6%
138
18.8%
42
32.3%
12
14.5%
132
18.2%
46
34.1%
Counts Break % Respondents Total Pro Billboard Neg Billboard
Yes No Do Not Know Yes No Do Not Know
Base 945 40 749 155 51 741 150
Hagan 379
40.1%
22
55.0%
303
40.5%
54
34.8%
28
54.9%
299
40.4%
51
34.0%
Haugh 19
2.0%
- 16
2.1%
3
1.9%
2
3.9%
14
1.9%
3
2.0%
Tillis 356
37.7%
12
30.0%
289
38.6%
54
34.8%
10
19.6%
296
39.9%
48
32.0%
Undecided 191
20.2%
6
15.0%
141
18.8%
44
28.4%
11
21.6%
132
17.8%
48
32.0%
Counts Break % Respondents Total Pro Yard sign Neg Yard sign
Yes No Do Not Know Yes No Do Not Know
Base 946 63 750 133 51 745 146
Hagan 378
40.0%
30
47.6%
299
39.9%
49
36.8%
29
56.9%
297
39.9%
51
34.9%
Haugh 19
2.0%
- 17
2.3%
2
1.5%
1
2.0%
16
2.1%
2
1.4%
Tillis 358
37.8%
22
34.9%
292
38.9%
44
33.1%
11
21.6%
298
40.0%
47
32.2%
Undecided 191
20.2%
11
17.5%
142
18.9%
38
28.6%
10
19.6%
134
18.0%
46
31.5%

Did you vote in the 2012 Presidential Election?

Counts Break % Respondents Total
Hagan Haugh Tillis Undecided
Base 957 384 19 361 193
Did you vote in the 2012 Presidential Election?
Yes, 1 voted for Barack Obama 430
44.9%
343
89.3%
7
36.8%
13
3.6%
67
34.7%
Yes, 1 voted for Mitt Romney 429
44.8%
23
6.0%
7
36.8%
328
90.9%
71
36.8%
Yes, 1 voted for someone else 34
3.6%
4
1.0%
31
5.8%
10
2.8%
17
8.8%
No, 1 did not vote 24
2.5%
8
2.1%
2
10.5%
4
1.1%
10
5.2%
Not sure/ Decline to answer 40
4.2%
6
1.6%
- 6
1.7%
28
14.5%
In which type of area do you live?
Counts Break % Respondents Total
Hagan Haugh Tillis Undecided
Base 956 383 19 361 193
In which type of area do you live?
Urban 168
17.6%
82
21.4%
4
21.1%
57
15.8%
25
13.0%
Suburban 517
54.1%
199
52.0%
11
57.9%
195
54.0%
112
58.0%
Rural 271
28.3%
102
26.6%
4
21.1%
109
30.2%
56
29.0%
With which party are you affiliated?
Counts Break % Respondents Total
Hagan Haugh Tillis Undecided
Base 957 384 19 361 193
With which party are you affiliated?
Republican 320
33.4%
21
5.5%
4
21.1%
245
67.9%
50
25.9%
Democrat 32734.2% 24764.3% 736.8% 185.0% 5528.5%
Independent 263
27.5%
106
27.6%
7
36.8%
85
23.5%
65
33.7%
Other 47
4.9%
10
2.6%
1
5.3%
13
3.6%
23
11.9%

In which of the following categories is your age?

Counts Break % Respondents Total
Hagan Haugh Tillis Undecided
Base 957 384 19 361 193
In which of the following categories is your age?
17 or under - - - - -
18 to 24 19
2.0%
5
1.3%
- 4
1.1%
10
5.2%
25 to 29 56
5.9%
25
6.5%
4
21.1%
12
3.3%
15
7.8%
30 to 34 65
6.8%
30
7.8%
5
26.3%
13
3.6%
17
8.8%
35 to 39 66
6.9%
29
7.6%
1
5.3%
22
6.1%
14
7.3%
40 to 44 78
8.2%
20
5.2%
1
5.3%
31
8.6%
26
13.5%
45 to 49 75
7.8%
28
7.3%
3
15.8%
25
6.9%
19
9.8%
50 to 54 108
11.3%
43
11.2%
1
5.3%
41
11.4%
23
11.9%
55 to 59 88
9.2%
38
9.9%
1
5.3%
36
10.0%
13
6.7%
60 to 64 144
15.0%
62
16.1%
2
10.5%
57
15.8%
23
11.9%
65 to 69 115
12.0%
47
12.2%
- 54
15.0%
14
7.3%
70 to 74 92
9.6%
40
10.4%
- 41
11.4%
11
5.7%
75 and over 47
4.9%
17
4.4%
1
5.3%
24
6.6%
5
2.6%
Not sure/ Decline to answer 4
0.4%
- - 1
0.3%
3
1.6%
Do you have any children (17 and under) in your household?
Counts Break % Respondents Total
Hagan Haugh Tillis Undecided
Base 957 384 19 361 193
Do you have any children(17 and under) in your household?
Yes 216
22.6%
79
20.6%
7
36.8%
77
21.3%
53
27.5%
No 729
76.2%
300
78.1%
12
63.2%
282
78.1%
135
69.9%
Decline to answer 12
1.3%
5
1.3%
- 2
0.6%
5
2.6%

Are you currently employed?

Counts Break % Respondents Total
Hagan Haugh Tillis Undecided
Base 957 384 19 361 193
Are you currently employed?
Yes, 1 work in professional, scientific, management, educational, or health care services 349
36.5%
140
36.5%
12
63.2%
118
32.7%
79
40.9%
Yes, I work in agriculture, construction, manufacturing, transportation, or wholesale trade 62
6.5%
26
6.8%
1
5.3%
20
5.5%
15
7.8%
Yes, I work in arts, entertainment, recreation, accommodation, food services, or retail 67
7.0%
21
5.5%
2
10.5%
24
6.6%
20
10.4%
Yes, I work for the government or military 31
3.2%
14
3.6%
- 9
2.5%
8
4.1%
No, I am a student 18
1.9%
5
1.3%
2
10.5%
4
1.1%
7
3.6%
No, I am a homemaker 67
7.0%
24
6.3%
1
5.3%
28
7.8%
14
7.3%
No, I am retired 301
31.5%
133
34.6%
1
5.3%
128
35.5%
39
20.2%
No, I am unemployed or looking for work 39
4.1%
15
3.9%
- 20
5.5%
4
2.1%
Not sure /Other 232.4% 61.6% - 102.8% 73.6%

What is the highest level of education you have completed?

Counts Break % Respondents Total
Hagan Haugh Tillis Undecided
Base 957 384 19 361 193
What is the highest level of education you have completed?
Some high school or less 3
0.3%
1
0.3%
- 1
0.3%
1
0.5%
High school degree 55
5.7%
20
5.2%
2
10.5%
20
5.5%
13
6.7%
Some college, associate’s degree, technical school graduate 288
30.1%
98
25.5%
6
31.6%
112
31.0%
72
37.3%
College graduate 323
33.8%
125
32.6%
7
36.8%
12
935.7%
62
32.1%
Graduate degree 282
29.5%
138
35.9%
4
21.1%
99
27.4%
41
21.2%
Decline to answer 6
0.6%
2
0.5%
- - 4
2.1%

In which of the following categories is your annual household income?

Counts Break % Respondents Total
Hagan Haugh Tillis Undecided
Base 957 384 19 361 193
In which of the following categories is your annual house…
Less than $40,000 186
19.4%
64
16.7%
4
21.1%
68
18.8%
50
25.9%
$40,000 to $59,999 154
16.1%
75
19.5%
7
36.8%
46
12.7%
26
13.5%
$60,000 to $74,999 125
13.1%
45
11.7%
1
5.3%
57
15.8%
22
11.4%
$75,000 to $99,999 153
16.0%
69
18.0%
2
10.5%
59
16.3%
23
11.9%
$100,000 to $199,999 155
16.2%
70
18.2%
2
10.5%
62
17.2%
21
10.9%
$200,000 or more 28
2.9%
8
2.1%
- 16
4.4%
4
2.1%
Decline to answer 156
16.3%
53
13.8%
3
15.8%
53
14.7%
47
24.4%

In which of the following categories is your race?

Counts Break % Respondents Total
Hagan Haugh Tillis Undecided
Base 957 384 19 361 193
In which of the following categories is your race?
White/Caucasian (non-Hispanic) 755
78.9%
274
71.4%
14
73.7%
324
89.8%
143
74.1%
Black/African-American (non-Hispanic) 97
10.1%
66
17.2%
2
10.5%
7
1.9%
22
11.4%
Hispanic/Latino 13
1.4%
5
1.3%
2
10.5%
1
0.3%
5
2.6%
Asian 30
3.1%
13
3.4%
- 11
3.0%
6
3.1%
Native American 3
0.3%
- - 3
0.8%
-
Other 12
1.3%
3
0.8%
1
5.3%
5
1.4%
3
1.6%
Decline to answer 47
4.9%
23
6.0%
- 10
2.8%
14
7.3%
What is your gender?
Counts Break % Respondents Total
Hagan Haugh Tillis Undecided
Base 956 383 19 361 193
What is your gender?
Female 563
58.9%
225
58.7%
9
47.4%
179
49.6%
150
77.7%
Male 381
39.9%
153
39.9%
10
52.6%
181
50.1%
37
19.2%
Decline to answer 12
1.3%
5
1.3%
- 1
0.3%
6
3.1%